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The AI Boom Is Now in Japan’s Inflation Forecast

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Jul 31, 2026

The AI Boom Is Now in Japan’s Inflation Forecast

The BOJ held rates at 1%, but its new outlook says global AI demand is lifting semiconductor costs and could push Japan’s durable-goods inflation higher.

Nate Sharp
Nate Sharp
The Fed Held. The Bond Market Tightened Anyway.

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Jul 30, 2026

The Fed Held. The Bond Market Tightened Anyway.

The policy rate stayed at 3.50% to 3.75%, but the 30-year yield climbed to a 19-year high as investors raised the price of long-term capital.

Nate Sharp
Nate Sharp
Record Profits Couldn’t Outrun the Leverage

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Jul 29, 2026

Record Profits Couldn’t Outrun the Leverage

South Korea’s market had become so concentrated in two chipmakers, and so dependent on borrowed exposure, that a real earnings disappointment turned into forced liquidation.

Nate Sharp
Nate Sharp
Nvidia May Have to Finance the Boom It Supplies

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Jul 28, 2026

Nvidia May Have to Finance the Boom It Supplies

Supplier financing can accelerate real investment, but the terms of Nvidia’s reported support will show whether it’s helping OpenAI bridge a timing gap or assuming risks that outside lenders won’t bear on their own.

Nate Sharp
Nate Sharp
China’s Profit Recovery Is Narrower Than It Looks

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Jul 27, 2026

China’s Profit Recovery Is Narrower Than It Looks

Industrial profits rose 18.7% in the first half, but electronics and raw materials supplied 17.3 percentage points of the increase while consumption, property and private investment remained weak.

Nate Sharp
Nate Sharp
The Backup Route Reopened the Rate Question

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Jul 24, 2026

The Backup Route Reopened the Rate Question

A confirmed strike on a Saudi tanker left the Red Sea open, but made the oil shock harder for markets to treat as temporary.

Nate Sharp
Nate Sharp
The AI Buildout Is Consuming the Cash Machine

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Jul 23, 2026

The AI Buildout Is Consuming the Cash Machine

Cloud revenue surged 82%, but Alphabet spent more on infrastructure than its operations generated, stopped repurchasing shares and raised nearly $70 billion from outside investors.

Nate Sharp
Nate Sharp
Japan’s Export Boom Has an Oil Problem

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Jul 22, 2026

Japan’s Export Boom Has an Oil Problem

AI demand lifted Japanese exports nearly 20 percent, but higher oil and a 40-year-low yen pushed imports to a record and left policymakers facing a harder inflation choice.

Nate Sharp
Nate Sharp
Oil Fell. The Shipping Risk Didn’t.

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Jul 21, 2026

Oil Fell. The Shipping Risk Didn’t.

Ceasefire hopes pulled Brent below $89 even as Hormuz traffic fell again and Saudi Arabia’s Red Sea alternative came under threat.

Nate Sharp
Nate Sharp
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